A Comprehensive Guide to Determining Realistic Housing Affordability

Roe Luo

Roe Luo

Financial Advisor

June 15, 2025
9 min read

I. Introduction: The Importance of Assessing True Housing Affordability

Acquiring a residential property represents one of the largest financial undertakings for most individuals. While lenders may approve a certain mortgage amount, this figure does not always align with what a household can comfortably and sustainably afford. A prudent approach involves a comprehensive assessment of income, existing debts, and anticipated homeownership costs to determine a realistic affordability range, thereby preventing financial strain and ensuring long-term financial health.

II. Principle 1: The 28/36 Rule for Housing and Total Debt Ratios

A widely accepted guideline in mortgage lending and personal finance is the "28/36 rule," which provides benchmarks for housing expenses and total debt obligations relative to gross monthly income (GMI).

  • Front-End Ratio (Housing Expense): Ideally, total monthly housing costs—comprising mortgage principal and interest (P&I), property taxes, and homeowners insurance (collectively known as PITI)—should not exceed 28% of your GMI. For example, an individual with a GMI of $5,000 should aim for a PITI payment of no more than $1,400 ($5,000 * 0.28).
  • Back-End Ratio (Total Debt): Your total monthly debt obligations, including the prospective PITI payment plus all other recurring debts (e.g., car loans, student loans, credit card minimum payments), should generally not surpass 36% of your GMI. Using the same $5,000 GMI example, total monthly debts should ideally be below $1,800 ($5,000 * 0.36).

While some lenders may permit higher ratios, adhering to these conservative guidelines promotes greater financial stability.

III. Principle 2: Comprehensive Accounting of All Homeownership Costs

Beyond the mortgage payment, numerous other expenses contribute to the total cost of homeownership.

  • Down Payment: A significant upfront cash requirement, typically ranging from 3.5% (for FHA loans) to 20% or more of the home's purchase price. A larger down payment reduces the loan amount and may eliminate the need for Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI).
  • Closing Costs: These encompass various fees associated with finalizing the real estate transaction, such as appraisal fees, title insurance, loan origination fees, and recording fees. Closing costs typically amount to 2% to 5% of the home's purchase price.
  • Property Taxes: Annual taxes levied by local government entities, usually paid in installments as part of the monthly mortgage payment (escrowed) or directly by the homeowner.
  • Homeowners Insurance: Mandatory coverage required by lenders to protect against property damage and liability.
  • Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): Generally required if the down payment is less than 20% of the home's value, adding to the monthly housing cost.
  • Repair and Maintenance Fund: Prudent homeowners allocate funds regularly (e.g., 1-2% of the home's value annually) for routine maintenance and unexpected repairs.
  • Homeowners Association (HOA) Fees: If purchasing a condominium, townhouse, or property in a planned unit development, monthly HOA fees may apply, covering common area maintenance and amenities.
  • Utilities: Monthly expenses for electricity, gas, water, sewer, trash collection, and internet/cable services.

IV. Illustrative Affordability Calculation

Consider an individual with an annual gross income of $70,000 (approximately $5,833 GMI).

  • Maximum Recommended PITI (28% rule): $5,833 * 0.28 = ~$1,633 per month.
  • Maximum Recommended Total Debt (36% rule): $5,833 * 0.36 = ~$2,100 per month. The size of the home loan this individual could afford would depend on current interest rates, property tax rates in their area, insurance costs, their down payment amount, and their existing non-housing debts. Online mortgage affordability calculators can provide estimates, but these should be used as starting points.

V. Prudent Financial Stewardship: Beyond Lender Approval

It is crucial to recognize that the maximum loan amount for which a lender approves a borrower may exceed what the borrower can comfortably sustain without compromising other financial goals or lifestyle quality. A truly affordable housing payment should allow for:

  • Continued Savings: Regular contributions to retirement accounts, emergency funds, and other savings goals.
  • Management of Unexpected Expenses: Capacity to absorb unforeseen costs without undue financial stress.
  • Discretionary Spending: Ability to maintain a reasonable quality of life and pursue personal interests.

VI. Concluding Recommendation

The most prudent approach is to determine a home purchase price and mortgage amount based on a conservative assessment of one's own budget and financial priorities, rather than solely on the maximum amount a lender is willing to extend. Prioritizing long-term financial security over acquiring the largest possible property is a hallmark of sound financial decision-making.

Disclaimer: These guidelines are for informational purposes. Consult with a qualified financial advisor and mortgage professional to assess your specific housing affordability based on your complete financial situation.

Roe Luo

Roe Luo

CFA, MBA, and former equity research analyst with 10+ years in finance. Led financial modeling, investment analysis, and curriculum development for non- experts. Deeply focused on making investing more inclusive and understandable.

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